Wednesday, December 31, 2008
My Crystal Ball Says...
...that I know what will happen in this week's key games. Always remember that I'm right, and your team sucks.
This is the third edition of the special bowl season picks. Keep checking back for the amazing, scintillating, stunning final edition.
Air Force vs Houston (Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl)
I like the way Air Force plays football. I always have. They are almost never able to outclass their opponents with better athletes. They play their system, and they do it with intelligence and discipline. I know, right? Shocking for a service academy. Theirs is a ground game, while Houston scores points through the air. And they score LOTS of points. They come into this game leading the nation in total offense, second in the nation in passing offense. You have to like the Cougars in this one.
Boston College vs Vanderbilt (Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl)
You have to feel a bit sorry for Vanderbilt. They finally get to a bowl game, for the first time since Reagan was president (26 years), and it turns out to be four miles away from their home stadium! The Commodores don’t score too many points – they average just over 19 a game which is good for 104th in the nation. They don’t give up too many points though, playing tough, opportunistic defense. But you have to wonder… They started the season 5-0, but lost six of their last seven. Boston College can’t claim to be offensive superheroes either, but their defense is every bit as good as Vandy’s. And they are aiming for their ninth straight bowl win - a remarkable accomplishment, and the nation's longest such streak. I think the Eagles fly away with this one.
Oregon State vs Pittsburgh (Brut Sun Bowl)
This could be yet another close, entertaining game. On paper, these two teams appear to be very evenly matched. Oregon State gave up 65 points in their last game – a home loss to Oregon. Beaver running back Jacquizz Rogers is still recovering from a shoulder injury, and production at running back is a major concern. Oregon State’s Mike Riley is 4-0 in bowl games, so you can bet they’ll be prepared. And I think Dave Wannstedt isn’t the best gameday coach. I’m taking the Beavers, mostly because it’s fun to say Beavers.
Kansas vs Minnesota (Insight Bowl)
Here’s what you need to know about this game: Minnesota hasn’t won a game since October (as pointed out by my friend Jeff). They started the season 7-1, and then lost their last four. Talk about momentum. Kansas has shown that they don’t quite belong in the top tier of Big 12 teams, but QB Todd Reesing has thrown for almost 3,600 yards this season, and I’m guessing he’s going to add a few hundred more in this game. As much as I’d like to pick Minnesota, just because they are the Gophers, I have to pick Kansas in this one.
Georgia Tech vs LSU (Chick-fil A Bowl)
There is some part of me that wants to pick LSU in this one. In theory, they are loaded with defensive talent. In reality, they’ve given up a total of 63 points in their last three games, losing the last two to Mississippi and Arkansas. The Tigers have had the kind of season that makes you forget they are the defending national champions. Georgia Tech, on the other hand, has brought the triple option back to major college football, and made it work. Tech tailback Jonathan Dwyer is the real deal. Keep your eye on him. Take LSU’s lack of motivation, and combine that with the fact that this is essentially a home game for the Yellow Jackets, and I think that is a recipe for a Georgia Tech victory.
South Carolina vs Iowa (Outback Bowl)
Iowa enters the game on a three game winning streak, including an upset of previously unbeaten Penn State. South Carolina, on the other hand, lost their lost two games by a combined score of 87-20. There is always this fear in the back of my mind that a Spurrier offense can break out at a moment’s notice and score 50 points. But not this offense at South Carolina. The defense is good, but I just don’t think they can score enough on Iowa to win this game.
Georgia vs Michigan State (Capital One Bowl)
Georgia started the season ranked number one, and it’s been mostly downhill since then. Despite a disappointing season, they have a shot at winning ten games – making it the sixth time in the last seven years that they have reached that mark. Michigan State has the same 9-3 record, but, basically, they lost to the only decent teams they played – California, Ohio State and Penn State. The Penn State game wasn’t even close. This game will feature two of the nation’s better running backs – the Spartans’ Javon Ringer and the Bulldogs’ Knowshon Moreno. The problem for Michigan State is that the Dawgs also have Matthew Stafford, who ranks 15th in the nation in passing efficiency. Michigan State has Brian Hoyer, who ranks 88th. It’s been the Georgia defense that has let them down – surrendering a total of 134 points in their three losses. If the Dawgs can score early, and play with a lead, they should win this one.
Clemson vs Nebraska (Konica Minolta Gator Bowl)
Both teams come in riding a three game winning streak, and playing pretty well. Nebraska’s offense is pretty good (12th in total offense), but has been overshadowed by the other offenses in their league. Both teams have new coaches – Bo Pellini in his first year at Nebraska. Dabo Swinney taking over at Clemson when Tommy Bowden was fired with four games remaining in the season. This looks like another clash of speed versus power. Clemson is faster, Nebraska, perhaps, more physical. Both teams are mistake and turnover-prone. I’ll take Clemson because they are closer to home, playing with a lot of emotion recently, and actually have more big game experience than the current group of Cornhuskers.
Penn State vs USC (Rose Bowl)
I hate USC. Pete Carroll comes across as everybody’s favorite guy, but I have a hard time believing Reggie Bush was the only guy getting paid to play at USC. I have a gut feeling on this one, and my gut says this game will be close than people think. Sure, USC is loaded with pro caliber talent, especially on defense, but Penn State has some athletes too, and probably a little bit of pride. My bowl record already sucks, so I’m going to pick Penn State. Mostly because I hate USC.
Cincinnati vs Virginia Tech (Fed Ex Orange Bowl)
This game may give us a chance to catch up on sleep we may have missed on New Year’s Eve. Virginia Tech has almost no offense to speak of. But they win with good defense (7th in the nation in total defense, 13th in scoring defense), and by being opportunistic (and sometimes downright lucky). And you have to like teams like Cincinnati – kind of a nobody team that snakes up and has good seasons now and then. I think the Bearcats have a good chance in what should be a low scoring game.
This is the third edition of the special bowl season picks. Keep checking back for the amazing, scintillating, stunning final edition.
Air Force vs Houston (Bell Helicopter Armed Forces Bowl)
I like the way Air Force plays football. I always have. They are almost never able to outclass their opponents with better athletes. They play their system, and they do it with intelligence and discipline. I know, right? Shocking for a service academy. Theirs is a ground game, while Houston scores points through the air. And they score LOTS of points. They come into this game leading the nation in total offense, second in the nation in passing offense. You have to like the Cougars in this one.
Boston College vs Vanderbilt (Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl)
You have to feel a bit sorry for Vanderbilt. They finally get to a bowl game, for the first time since Reagan was president (26 years), and it turns out to be four miles away from their home stadium! The Commodores don’t score too many points – they average just over 19 a game which is good for 104th in the nation. They don’t give up too many points though, playing tough, opportunistic defense. But you have to wonder… They started the season 5-0, but lost six of their last seven. Boston College can’t claim to be offensive superheroes either, but their defense is every bit as good as Vandy’s. And they are aiming for their ninth straight bowl win - a remarkable accomplishment, and the nation's longest such streak. I think the Eagles fly away with this one.
Oregon State vs Pittsburgh (Brut Sun Bowl)
This could be yet another close, entertaining game. On paper, these two teams appear to be very evenly matched. Oregon State gave up 65 points in their last game – a home loss to Oregon. Beaver running back Jacquizz Rogers is still recovering from a shoulder injury, and production at running back is a major concern. Oregon State’s Mike Riley is 4-0 in bowl games, so you can bet they’ll be prepared. And I think Dave Wannstedt isn’t the best gameday coach. I’m taking the Beavers, mostly because it’s fun to say Beavers.
Kansas vs Minnesota (Insight Bowl)
Here’s what you need to know about this game: Minnesota hasn’t won a game since October (as pointed out by my friend Jeff). They started the season 7-1, and then lost their last four. Talk about momentum. Kansas has shown that they don’t quite belong in the top tier of Big 12 teams, but QB Todd Reesing has thrown for almost 3,600 yards this season, and I’m guessing he’s going to add a few hundred more in this game. As much as I’d like to pick Minnesota, just because they are the Gophers, I have to pick Kansas in this one.
Georgia Tech vs LSU (Chick-fil A Bowl)
There is some part of me that wants to pick LSU in this one. In theory, they are loaded with defensive talent. In reality, they’ve given up a total of 63 points in their last three games, losing the last two to Mississippi and Arkansas. The Tigers have had the kind of season that makes you forget they are the defending national champions. Georgia Tech, on the other hand, has brought the triple option back to major college football, and made it work. Tech tailback Jonathan Dwyer is the real deal. Keep your eye on him. Take LSU’s lack of motivation, and combine that with the fact that this is essentially a home game for the Yellow Jackets, and I think that is a recipe for a Georgia Tech victory.
South Carolina vs Iowa (Outback Bowl)
Iowa enters the game on a three game winning streak, including an upset of previously unbeaten Penn State. South Carolina, on the other hand, lost their lost two games by a combined score of 87-20. There is always this fear in the back of my mind that a Spurrier offense can break out at a moment’s notice and score 50 points. But not this offense at South Carolina. The defense is good, but I just don’t think they can score enough on Iowa to win this game.
Georgia vs Michigan State (Capital One Bowl)
Georgia started the season ranked number one, and it’s been mostly downhill since then. Despite a disappointing season, they have a shot at winning ten games – making it the sixth time in the last seven years that they have reached that mark. Michigan State has the same 9-3 record, but, basically, they lost to the only decent teams they played – California, Ohio State and Penn State. The Penn State game wasn’t even close. This game will feature two of the nation’s better running backs – the Spartans’ Javon Ringer and the Bulldogs’ Knowshon Moreno. The problem for Michigan State is that the Dawgs also have Matthew Stafford, who ranks 15th in the nation in passing efficiency. Michigan State has Brian Hoyer, who ranks 88th. It’s been the Georgia defense that has let them down – surrendering a total of 134 points in their three losses. If the Dawgs can score early, and play with a lead, they should win this one.
Clemson vs Nebraska (Konica Minolta Gator Bowl)
Both teams come in riding a three game winning streak, and playing pretty well. Nebraska’s offense is pretty good (12th in total offense), but has been overshadowed by the other offenses in their league. Both teams have new coaches – Bo Pellini in his first year at Nebraska. Dabo Swinney taking over at Clemson when Tommy Bowden was fired with four games remaining in the season. This looks like another clash of speed versus power. Clemson is faster, Nebraska, perhaps, more physical. Both teams are mistake and turnover-prone. I’ll take Clemson because they are closer to home, playing with a lot of emotion recently, and actually have more big game experience than the current group of Cornhuskers.
Penn State vs USC (Rose Bowl)
I hate USC. Pete Carroll comes across as everybody’s favorite guy, but I have a hard time believing Reggie Bush was the only guy getting paid to play at USC. I have a gut feeling on this one, and my gut says this game will be close than people think. Sure, USC is loaded with pro caliber talent, especially on defense, but Penn State has some athletes too, and probably a little bit of pride. My bowl record already sucks, so I’m going to pick Penn State. Mostly because I hate USC.
Cincinnati vs Virginia Tech (Fed Ex Orange Bowl)
This game may give us a chance to catch up on sleep we may have missed on New Year’s Eve. Virginia Tech has almost no offense to speak of. But they win with good defense (7th in the nation in total defense, 13th in scoring defense), and by being opportunistic (and sometimes downright lucky). And you have to like teams like Cincinnati – kind of a nobody team that snakes up and has good seasons now and then. I think the Bearcats have a good chance in what should be a low scoring game.
Sunday, December 28, 2008
My Crystal Ball Says...
...that I know what will happen in this week's key games. Always remember that I'm right, and your team sucks.
This is the second edition of the special bowl season picks. Keep checking back for the last edition.
Don't let the fact that I'm 1-5 in my previous set of picks bother you too much. Boise State almost got it done, and so did Miami. North Carolina had a lousy fourth quarter - turning the ball over twice - otherwise, they played pretty well against West Virginia. Hawaii is still in need of a collective Heimlich Maneuver after choking as badly as they did. And Central Michigan coach Butch Jones showed why he is still coaching at Central Michigan. The lone shining moment from my first set of picks? The Florida State drubbing of Wisconsin. Sad, but true.
This set is likely to be MUCH better.
Northern Illinois vs Louisiana Tech (Independence Bowl)
This is a battle of dogs, Huskies against Bulldogs, and a matchup of two teams with solid running games and suspect passing games. This is basically a home game for Louisiana Tech, which is good news for them. They’ve only lost once at home this year. I’ll take Louisiana Tech.
NC State vs Rutgers (PapaJohns.com Bowl)
Rutgers looked like a hopeless cause at the start of the season after opening with a 1-5 record. Then they won their last six games, all in all, a heck of a coaching job by Greg Schiano. Similarly, North Carolina State started the year 2-6, but they’re on a hot streak after closing the season with four straight wins. On a whim, I’ll take NC State in this one.
Missouri vs Northwestern (Valero Alamo Bowl)
Northwestern is, very quietly, 9-3, and would be 10-2 except for an inexplicable loss to Indiana. They run the ball well, and that might help them stay in the game with a Missouri team that plays very little defense to speak of. In what should be a shootout, I still think Missouri has too much firepower for the Wildcats.
Maryland vs Nevada (Roady’s Humanitarian Bowl)
If early reports are correct, and if you count the workers in the concession areas, there may be about 29 people at this game. That’s too bad because watching almost any game on the Smurf Turf is fun. Maryland is one of the most remarkably inconsistent teams I’ve seen. They beat four ranked teams this year, but lost to Middle Tennessee State, got shutout by Virginia, and got pounded at home by FSU. Which Terps will show up? Nevada, amazingly, is fifth in the nation in total offense, but their defense is every bit as suspect as Maryland’s sometimes is. I think Nevada is a bit more excited about this than Maryland, and that may be the difference. And I’m betting on a big game from Wolfpack QB Colin Kaepernick.
Western Michigan vs Rice (Texas Bowl)
This is another game that should be an entertaining shootout. The Broncos lost their last game of the regular season to Ball State. Rice is on a six game winning streak, and Chase Clement is another one of those very solid quarterbacks that you may not have heard of. I’ll go with Rice.
Oklahoma State vs Oregon (Pacific Life Holiday Bowl)
This should be yet another entertaining, high-scoring game. It’s tempting to pick an Oregon team that piles up points and yards at will sometimes. But it is also tempting to pick an Oklahoma State team that runs very well, and has a decent passing attack to go with the running game. Can the Cowboys hold the ball and keep the Oregon offense off the field? I think so.
This is the second edition of the special bowl season picks. Keep checking back for the last edition.
Don't let the fact that I'm 1-5 in my previous set of picks bother you too much. Boise State almost got it done, and so did Miami. North Carolina had a lousy fourth quarter - turning the ball over twice - otherwise, they played pretty well against West Virginia. Hawaii is still in need of a collective Heimlich Maneuver after choking as badly as they did. And Central Michigan coach Butch Jones showed why he is still coaching at Central Michigan. The lone shining moment from my first set of picks? The Florida State drubbing of Wisconsin. Sad, but true.
This set is likely to be MUCH better.
Northern Illinois vs Louisiana Tech (Independence Bowl)
This is a battle of dogs, Huskies against Bulldogs, and a matchup of two teams with solid running games and suspect passing games. This is basically a home game for Louisiana Tech, which is good news for them. They’ve only lost once at home this year. I’ll take Louisiana Tech.
NC State vs Rutgers (PapaJohns.com Bowl)
Rutgers looked like a hopeless cause at the start of the season after opening with a 1-5 record. Then they won their last six games, all in all, a heck of a coaching job by Greg Schiano. Similarly, North Carolina State started the year 2-6, but they’re on a hot streak after closing the season with four straight wins. On a whim, I’ll take NC State in this one.
Missouri vs Northwestern (Valero Alamo Bowl)
Northwestern is, very quietly, 9-3, and would be 10-2 except for an inexplicable loss to Indiana. They run the ball well, and that might help them stay in the game with a Missouri team that plays very little defense to speak of. In what should be a shootout, I still think Missouri has too much firepower for the Wildcats.
Maryland vs Nevada (Roady’s Humanitarian Bowl)
If early reports are correct, and if you count the workers in the concession areas, there may be about 29 people at this game. That’s too bad because watching almost any game on the Smurf Turf is fun. Maryland is one of the most remarkably inconsistent teams I’ve seen. They beat four ranked teams this year, but lost to Middle Tennessee State, got shutout by Virginia, and got pounded at home by FSU. Which Terps will show up? Nevada, amazingly, is fifth in the nation in total offense, but their defense is every bit as suspect as Maryland’s sometimes is. I think Nevada is a bit more excited about this than Maryland, and that may be the difference. And I’m betting on a big game from Wolfpack QB Colin Kaepernick.
Western Michigan vs Rice (Texas Bowl)
This is another game that should be an entertaining shootout. The Broncos lost their last game of the regular season to Ball State. Rice is on a six game winning streak, and Chase Clement is another one of those very solid quarterbacks that you may not have heard of. I’ll go with Rice.
Oklahoma State vs Oregon (Pacific Life Holiday Bowl)
This should be yet another entertaining, high-scoring game. It’s tempting to pick an Oregon team that piles up points and yards at will sometimes. But it is also tempting to pick an Oklahoma State team that runs very well, and has a decent passing attack to go with the running game. Can the Cowboys hold the ball and keep the Oregon offense off the field? I think so.
Saturday, December 27, 2008
Premature Afterbirth (Part 1)
A few observations on the recent bowl games…
Hawaii vs Notre Dame
I will never, ever write another positive thing about Hawaii again. Given a chance to win their eighth game of the season and finish above .500, given a chance to play a bowl game in their own backyard instead of 3,000 miles away, given a chance to show a Christmas Eve national television audience what they can do, given a chance to take advantage of a matchup against a team that hasn’t won a bowl game since the year after Bill Clinton was first elected president, given a chance to get a signature win over, arguably, the most recognizable college football team in the land, what did they do? They choked. They stunk. They barely even showed up.
Notre Dame won 41-29, and the game wasn’t even that close. Hawaii somehow managed to make Irish quarterback Jimmy Clausen look like Johnny Unitas. He threw for 401 yards and five touchdowns – both Notre Dame bowl records. Yes, that Jimmy Clausen. Don’t worry. You’re not alone. I don’t understand it either.
Florida Atlantic vs Central Michigan
Let me be the first (or at least one of the first) to say that I wouldn’t want Central Michigan’s Butch Jones to coach dung out of a calf. Double threat Dan LeFevour had a respectable first half passing, but -2 yards rushing. Why Jones chose to keep his star quarterback harnessed, I have no idea. In the second half, LeFevour netted fifty-eight yards rushing but, by then, they were playing catch up. Trailing by 11 with just over five minutes left in the game, the Chippewas drove to the Florida Atlantic six yard line. Faced with a fourth and goal, Jones, of course, chose to… go for it? Wait. Five minutes left. You need two scores. Don’t you take the nearly sure three pointer? Not if you’re Butch Jones.
Fourth down, incomplete pass. The score is still 24-13.
Fortunately, Florida Atlantic bailed him out by having the world’s worst three and out on their subsequent possession, losing two yards on first down from their own six yard line, and then throwing consecutive incomplete passes on second and third. One lousy punt later, and Central Michigan has the ball at the Florida Atlantic thirty-four. Give LeFevour credit for guiding his team to a crucial touchdown, and converting the two pointer to make the game exciting again.
Florida Atlantic 24, Central Michigan 21.
It’s decision time. With 3:09 left in the game, and two timeouts remaining, Jones, of course, chose to… do an onside kick? Before your scoring drive, you had stopped the Owls on three straight downs on a possession that consumed a grand total of fifty-four seconds. Don’t you send it deep and play defense? Not if you’re Butch Jones.
The onside kick fails, as most do. Game over. Great job, Butch.
Hawaii vs Notre Dame
I will never, ever write another positive thing about Hawaii again. Given a chance to win their eighth game of the season and finish above .500, given a chance to play a bowl game in their own backyard instead of 3,000 miles away, given a chance to show a Christmas Eve national television audience what they can do, given a chance to take advantage of a matchup against a team that hasn’t won a bowl game since the year after Bill Clinton was first elected president, given a chance to get a signature win over, arguably, the most recognizable college football team in the land, what did they do? They choked. They stunk. They barely even showed up.
Notre Dame won 41-29, and the game wasn’t even that close. Hawaii somehow managed to make Irish quarterback Jimmy Clausen look like Johnny Unitas. He threw for 401 yards and five touchdowns – both Notre Dame bowl records. Yes, that Jimmy Clausen. Don’t worry. You’re not alone. I don’t understand it either.
Florida Atlantic vs Central Michigan
Let me be the first (or at least one of the first) to say that I wouldn’t want Central Michigan’s Butch Jones to coach dung out of a calf. Double threat Dan LeFevour had a respectable first half passing, but -2 yards rushing. Why Jones chose to keep his star quarterback harnessed, I have no idea. In the second half, LeFevour netted fifty-eight yards rushing but, by then, they were playing catch up. Trailing by 11 with just over five minutes left in the game, the Chippewas drove to the Florida Atlantic six yard line. Faced with a fourth and goal, Jones, of course, chose to… go for it? Wait. Five minutes left. You need two scores. Don’t you take the nearly sure three pointer? Not if you’re Butch Jones.
Fourth down, incomplete pass. The score is still 24-13.
Fortunately, Florida Atlantic bailed him out by having the world’s worst three and out on their subsequent possession, losing two yards on first down from their own six yard line, and then throwing consecutive incomplete passes on second and third. One lousy punt later, and Central Michigan has the ball at the Florida Atlantic thirty-four. Give LeFevour credit for guiding his team to a crucial touchdown, and converting the two pointer to make the game exciting again.
Florida Atlantic 24, Central Michigan 21.
It’s decision time. With 3:09 left in the game, and two timeouts remaining, Jones, of course, chose to… do an onside kick? Before your scoring drive, you had stopped the Owls on three straight downs on a possession that consumed a grand total of fifty-four seconds. Don’t you send it deep and play defense? Not if you’re Butch Jones.
The onside kick fails, as most do. Game over. Great job, Butch.
Monday, December 22, 2008
My Crystal Ball Says...
...that I know what will happen in this week's key games. Always remember that I'm right, and your team sucks.
This is the special bowl season edition, and I'm not going to post all of it at once, so keep checking back.
TCU vs Boise State (San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl)
I like Boise State over TCU in what would be a slight upset. TCU linebacker Robert Henson has been declared academically ineligible, and Boise State will be motivated to finish another season unbeaten. TCU’s only losses are at Oklahoma and at Utah, but in each of those games, the Horned Frogs scored just 10 points. So this MAY end up being a lower scoring affair than one might expect.
Hawaii vs Notre Dame (Sheraton Hawaii Bowl)
The Warriors played well in their last game (a close 29-24 loss to a good Cincinnati team). Both teams have heavy motivation to win. Hawaii wants to beat Notre Dame just because they are Notre Dame. The Irish are trying to avoid losing their tenth bowl game in a row – having already set an NCAA record for bowl futility. Of Notre Dame’s nine consecutive bowl losses, seven have been by double digits. I like Hawaii in this one. Plus, I hate Notre Dame.
West Virginia vs North Carolina (Meineke Car Care Bowl)
Two teams that sputtered across the finish line this season. West Virginia started the season 1-2, but reeled off 5 straight wins to regain some respect, only to go 2-2 down the stretch. North Carolina appeared to hit stride in mid-season with consecutive wins over Miami, Connecticut and Notre Dame, but lost two of their last three, including a 41-10 pounding by North Carolina State. This game is in Charlotte, which may be a bit of a boost for the Tarheels. If their defense plays the way it is capable, the Tarheels will win in a relatively low-scoring affair.
Central Michigan vs Florida Atlantic (Motor City Bowl)
2008 was a tale of two seasons for Florida Atlantic. After starting 1-5, they ended the season with a 5-1 run to get them bowl eligible. Central Michigan’s Dan LeFevour may be the best quarterback you’ve never heard of, and this game is in Detroit – basically Central Michigan’s back yard. This game should keep the scoreboard operator busy. Take Central Michigan in a shootout.
Florida State vs Wisconsin (Champs Sports Bowl)
Hhhhhelp! That’s the last thing you’ll hear from Badger QB Dustin Sherer right before he is buried by FSU super pass-rusher Everette Brown. Wisconsin is a consistently over-rated, under-performing team, and they have not seen athletes anything like what Florida State can put on the field. I hate the Seminoles, but, while they have had an up and down season, I think they run around, then through, then over Wisconsin in this one.
California vs Miami (Emerald Bowl)
Experts everywhere are predicting a big win for California here, but I’m not so sure. Yes, Georgia Tech and NC State combined to rush for nearly 700 yards in Miami’s last two games (both losses), but I’m willing to bet their offensive lines are better (or at least more healthy) than California’s. Miami QB Robert Marve is suspended for the game, but he has seen split duty with Jacory Harris all season, and Harris is ready to go. Cal’s resume just isn’t all that impressive. They are 1-4 on the road, with their only road win coming against a terrible Washington State team. This game is almost a home game though; it's played right across the bay in San Francisco. I hate Miami, but I think they can keep this one close, and maybe even pull off the upset.
This is the special bowl season edition, and I'm not going to post all of it at once, so keep checking back.
TCU vs Boise State (San Diego County Credit Union Poinsettia Bowl)
I like Boise State over TCU in what would be a slight upset. TCU linebacker Robert Henson has been declared academically ineligible, and Boise State will be motivated to finish another season unbeaten. TCU’s only losses are at Oklahoma and at Utah, but in each of those games, the Horned Frogs scored just 10 points. So this MAY end up being a lower scoring affair than one might expect.
Hawaii vs Notre Dame (Sheraton Hawaii Bowl)
The Warriors played well in their last game (a close 29-24 loss to a good Cincinnati team). Both teams have heavy motivation to win. Hawaii wants to beat Notre Dame just because they are Notre Dame. The Irish are trying to avoid losing their tenth bowl game in a row – having already set an NCAA record for bowl futility. Of Notre Dame’s nine consecutive bowl losses, seven have been by double digits. I like Hawaii in this one. Plus, I hate Notre Dame.
West Virginia vs North Carolina (Meineke Car Care Bowl)
Two teams that sputtered across the finish line this season. West Virginia started the season 1-2, but reeled off 5 straight wins to regain some respect, only to go 2-2 down the stretch. North Carolina appeared to hit stride in mid-season with consecutive wins over Miami, Connecticut and Notre Dame, but lost two of their last three, including a 41-10 pounding by North Carolina State. This game is in Charlotte, which may be a bit of a boost for the Tarheels. If their defense plays the way it is capable, the Tarheels will win in a relatively low-scoring affair.
Central Michigan vs Florida Atlantic (Motor City Bowl)
2008 was a tale of two seasons for Florida Atlantic. After starting 1-5, they ended the season with a 5-1 run to get them bowl eligible. Central Michigan’s Dan LeFevour may be the best quarterback you’ve never heard of, and this game is in Detroit – basically Central Michigan’s back yard. This game should keep the scoreboard operator busy. Take Central Michigan in a shootout.
Florida State vs Wisconsin (Champs Sports Bowl)
Hhhhhelp! That’s the last thing you’ll hear from Badger QB Dustin Sherer right before he is buried by FSU super pass-rusher Everette Brown. Wisconsin is a consistently over-rated, under-performing team, and they have not seen athletes anything like what Florida State can put on the field. I hate the Seminoles, but, while they have had an up and down season, I think they run around, then through, then over Wisconsin in this one.
California vs Miami (Emerald Bowl)
Experts everywhere are predicting a big win for California here, but I’m not so sure. Yes, Georgia Tech and NC State combined to rush for nearly 700 yards in Miami’s last two games (both losses), but I’m willing to bet their offensive lines are better (or at least more healthy) than California’s. Miami QB Robert Marve is suspended for the game, but he has seen split duty with Jacory Harris all season, and Harris is ready to go. Cal’s resume just isn’t all that impressive. They are 1-4 on the road, with their only road win coming against a terrible Washington State team. This game is almost a home game though; it's played right across the bay in San Francisco. I hate Miami, but I think they can keep this one close, and maybe even pull off the upset.
Sunday, December 14, 2008
The Top Ten Moments in the Gator Season
A look back at how the Gators made it to the BCS championship game.
1. The Drive Against Alabama
Alabama dominates the third quarter, holding the ball for 10 minutes, and scoring 10 points. The Gators begin the 4th quarter trailing 20-17, but embark on an 11 play, 47 yard drive, consuming nine minutes and regaining the momentum and the lead for good.
2. The Loss to Ole Miss
The painful upset galvanized the Gators in a way that a sloppy victory might not have. Tim Tebow has made good on his now-famous pledge to play hard and push the team. Since then, the Gators have outscored their opponents 445-110.
3. Brandon Spikes Hits Knowshon Moreno
The Georgia running back takes a handoff on the second play from scrimmage, but Florida linebacker Brandon Spikes levels Moreno, who usually pops right up after being tackled, but not this time. Spikes lingers on top of him for several seconds to deliver a message: Not today. After gashing the Gators for 188 yards last year, Moreno is held to 65 yards.
4. The Fourth Quarter of the Arkansas Game
Florida looked out of synch at Arkansas until, leading 17-7 heading into the fourth quarter, things started clicking. A 21 yard touchdown pass from Tebow to Harvin caps an 83 yard drive. Then Chris Rainey and Jeffrey Demps and break off scoring runs of 75 and 48 yards, respectively. The Gators win 38-7, and, establish Rainey and Demps as trusted weapons.
5. Joe Haden's Interception Against Georgia
With eight minutes left in the third quarter, the Gators leading 14-3, and Georgia driving to the Florida 30, Joe Haden steps in front of a Stafford pass and returns it 86 yards to the Georgia one yard line. Tebow chases Haden on the sidelines, and tells him, “That’s how you change a game!” Tebow scores on a one yard run on the next play. Game over.
6. The Scoring Flurry Against South Carolina
After a shaky opening that saw the Gators sputter and fumble, they scored three touchdowns in less than three minutes, starting with a Brandon Spikes pick six, taking a quick 21-0 lead on the way to a 56-6 drubbing of the Gamecocks.
7. Brandon James Returns Kicks Against Tennessee
Florida sends a message: Beware of our special teams. Brandon James returns the opening kickoff 52 yards to set up the Gators’ first score, but a few minutes later he returns a punt 78 yards for a touchdown. This performance causes Knoxville News-Sentinel columnist John Adams to write,” What does Florida's Brandon James have to do for UT to stop kicking him the ball? Score twice on one play?”
8. The First Touchdown Against LSU
On Florida’s opening possession, with the Gators facing a third and twelve from their own thirty, Tebow’s pass, intended for Percy Harvin, is underthrown. LSU safety Danny McCray tips the ball into the hands of the waiting Harvin who then sprints into the endzone with the 70 yard completion. A bad pass becomes the game’s first touchdown, and, from that point forward, the Gators were off to the races.
9. Consecutive Blocked Punts Against Kentucky
In the seventh game of the year, Florida continues to terrify opponents with their special teams play. In a span of less than five minutes in the first quarter, the Gators block back-to-back Kentucky punts resulting in touchdown drives of four yards and one yard.
10. Tebow's Touchdown in Tallahassee
In the pouring rain, with 7:32 remaining in the first half and Florida leading 14-6, Percy Harvin is injured on a 5 yard carry. Florida State fans cheer. Tebow is furious, and asks for the ball. Two plays later, he completes a four yard touchdown run, carrying a pile of about ten players into the endzone with him. Message to opponents: Don’t make Tebow angry.
1. The Drive Against Alabama
Alabama dominates the third quarter, holding the ball for 10 minutes, and scoring 10 points. The Gators begin the 4th quarter trailing 20-17, but embark on an 11 play, 47 yard drive, consuming nine minutes and regaining the momentum and the lead for good.
2. The Loss to Ole Miss
The painful upset galvanized the Gators in a way that a sloppy victory might not have. Tim Tebow has made good on his now-famous pledge to play hard and push the team. Since then, the Gators have outscored their opponents 445-110.
3. Brandon Spikes Hits Knowshon Moreno
The Georgia running back takes a handoff on the second play from scrimmage, but Florida linebacker Brandon Spikes levels Moreno, who usually pops right up after being tackled, but not this time. Spikes lingers on top of him for several seconds to deliver a message: Not today. After gashing the Gators for 188 yards last year, Moreno is held to 65 yards.
4. The Fourth Quarter of the Arkansas Game
Florida looked out of synch at Arkansas until, leading 17-7 heading into the fourth quarter, things started clicking. A 21 yard touchdown pass from Tebow to Harvin caps an 83 yard drive. Then Chris Rainey and Jeffrey Demps and break off scoring runs of 75 and 48 yards, respectively. The Gators win 38-7, and, establish Rainey and Demps as trusted weapons.
5. Joe Haden's Interception Against Georgia
With eight minutes left in the third quarter, the Gators leading 14-3, and Georgia driving to the Florida 30, Joe Haden steps in front of a Stafford pass and returns it 86 yards to the Georgia one yard line. Tebow chases Haden on the sidelines, and tells him, “That’s how you change a game!” Tebow scores on a one yard run on the next play. Game over.
6. The Scoring Flurry Against South Carolina
After a shaky opening that saw the Gators sputter and fumble, they scored three touchdowns in less than three minutes, starting with a Brandon Spikes pick six, taking a quick 21-0 lead on the way to a 56-6 drubbing of the Gamecocks.
7. Brandon James Returns Kicks Against Tennessee
Florida sends a message: Beware of our special teams. Brandon James returns the opening kickoff 52 yards to set up the Gators’ first score, but a few minutes later he returns a punt 78 yards for a touchdown. This performance causes Knoxville News-Sentinel columnist John Adams to write,” What does Florida's Brandon James have to do for UT to stop kicking him the ball? Score twice on one play?”
8. The First Touchdown Against LSU
On Florida’s opening possession, with the Gators facing a third and twelve from their own thirty, Tebow’s pass, intended for Percy Harvin, is underthrown. LSU safety Danny McCray tips the ball into the hands of the waiting Harvin who then sprints into the endzone with the 70 yard completion. A bad pass becomes the game’s first touchdown, and, from that point forward, the Gators were off to the races.
9. Consecutive Blocked Punts Against Kentucky
In the seventh game of the year, Florida continues to terrify opponents with their special teams play. In a span of less than five minutes in the first quarter, the Gators block back-to-back Kentucky punts resulting in touchdown drives of four yards and one yard.
10. Tebow's Touchdown in Tallahassee
In the pouring rain, with 7:32 remaining in the first half and Florida leading 14-6, Percy Harvin is injured on a 5 yard carry. Florida State fans cheer. Tebow is furious, and asks for the ball. Two plays later, he completes a four yard touchdown run, carrying a pile of about ten players into the endzone with him. Message to opponents: Don’t make Tebow angry.
Sunday, December 7, 2008
A Pox on Fox
I happen to be a BCS proponent. Typically, despite the pissing and moaning that goes on every year, they’ve managed to get it right. So I’m not going to take up space here complaining about that.
But I AM going to complain about Fox broadcasting the BCS games. Here’s why: They suck.
They don’t do a single college game all year long, and then they get to broadcast the biggest games of them all? I understand that they outbid the other suitors, and money talks, but, holy God, the Fox telecasts are almost unwatchable.
During the BCS selection show tonight, right after announcing that Florida was playing Oklahoma for the national championship, Gator head coach Urban Meyer came on to be interviewed and the Fox moron promptly asked him about his hair. I’m not kidding. I wish I was.
Fifteen minutes later, I switched to ESPN, and the talking heads there actually asked thoughtful, probing questions. The good news is ESPN has a new four year contract to air the BCS games. The bad news is it doesn’t kick in until 2011.
But I AM going to complain about Fox broadcasting the BCS games. Here’s why: They suck.
They don’t do a single college game all year long, and then they get to broadcast the biggest games of them all? I understand that they outbid the other suitors, and money talks, but, holy God, the Fox telecasts are almost unwatchable.
During the BCS selection show tonight, right after announcing that Florida was playing Oklahoma for the national championship, Gator head coach Urban Meyer came on to be interviewed and the Fox moron promptly asked him about his hair. I’m not kidding. I wish I was.
Fifteen minutes later, I switched to ESPN, and the talking heads there actually asked thoughtful, probing questions. The good news is ESPN has a new four year contract to air the BCS games. The bad news is it doesn’t kick in until 2011.
Afterbirth (Week 15)
You know... the stuff that just kind of falls out when the party's over.
BCS Set?
The regular season is finally over, and the three big conference championship games definitely lived up to expectations. The SEC game was an instant classic. The Big 12 game showed that Missouri still isn’t ready for the big time. And the ACC game was… Wait. Was there an ACC game? Nobody really cared, including, apparently, Boston College, even though they were in it.
Florida and Alabama played the most entertaining game of the day, by far, with each team seizing momentum on several occasions, only to have it seized back by the opponent. All week long, the “experts” told us that this was a case of power against speed. Florida coach Urban Meyer didn’t think so. These Gators have plenty of toughness too. Florida ended up outrushing Alabama, and won the time of possession battle, essentially beating the Tide at their own game.
Oklahoma made Missouri look like a Pop Warner team, but probably set up a colossal BCS championship game against the Gators, if the computers cooperate.
Why I Like Lee Corso
Over the years, most college football fans have come to rely on ESPN College Gameday for information and entertainment. If you like college football, you know Chris, Kirk and Lee. You may not like them, but you know them.
Back in the day, I kind of liked Chris Fowler. I thought Kirk Herbstreit brought a lot of credibility to the broadcast. And I thought Lee Corso was nothing more than a buffoon. Not so fast, my friend. Over the years, Fowler has said many things that annoyed me. It's been a cumulative effect that has built slowly, but now I dislike him fairly intensely. And, frankly, he reminds me of Fred Flintstone as a young man.
Kirk Herbstreit started off as a fairly likeable guy, but, over the years, started taking himself too seriously, and spending more time editorializing than analyzing. Plus, he's a Buckeye. I hate the Buckeyes.
Lee Corso initially seemed like he was on the set purely for comedic value. And he wasn't funny. But, as my opinion of the others deteriorated, my opinion of Corso took a positive turn. Now, while I may not always agree with him, I enjoy the light-hearted approach he brings to the show. He's the only one who always seems like he is enjoying himself. And I appreciate it.
In the video clip below, the guys cut to a remote report by Rocket Ismail. There was a problem with the audio feed, and Corso, obviously unaware that his microphone was still on, expressed his thoughts on the subject. (Warning: Not suitable for the young or overly sensitive).
Gotta love Corso.
BCS Set?
The regular season is finally over, and the three big conference championship games definitely lived up to expectations. The SEC game was an instant classic. The Big 12 game showed that Missouri still isn’t ready for the big time. And the ACC game was… Wait. Was there an ACC game? Nobody really cared, including, apparently, Boston College, even though they were in it.
Florida and Alabama played the most entertaining game of the day, by far, with each team seizing momentum on several occasions, only to have it seized back by the opponent. All week long, the “experts” told us that this was a case of power against speed. Florida coach Urban Meyer didn’t think so. These Gators have plenty of toughness too. Florida ended up outrushing Alabama, and won the time of possession battle, essentially beating the Tide at their own game.
Oklahoma made Missouri look like a Pop Warner team, but probably set up a colossal BCS championship game against the Gators, if the computers cooperate.
Why I Like Lee Corso
Over the years, most college football fans have come to rely on ESPN College Gameday for information and entertainment. If you like college football, you know Chris, Kirk and Lee. You may not like them, but you know them.
Back in the day, I kind of liked Chris Fowler. I thought Kirk Herbstreit brought a lot of credibility to the broadcast. And I thought Lee Corso was nothing more than a buffoon. Not so fast, my friend. Over the years, Fowler has said many things that annoyed me. It's been a cumulative effect that has built slowly, but now I dislike him fairly intensely. And, frankly, he reminds me of Fred Flintstone as a young man.
Kirk Herbstreit started off as a fairly likeable guy, but, over the years, started taking himself too seriously, and spending more time editorializing than analyzing. Plus, he's a Buckeye. I hate the Buckeyes.
Lee Corso initially seemed like he was on the set purely for comedic value. And he wasn't funny. But, as my opinion of the others deteriorated, my opinion of Corso took a positive turn. Now, while I may not always agree with him, I enjoy the light-hearted approach he brings to the show. He's the only one who always seems like he is enjoying himself. And I appreciate it.
In the video clip below, the guys cut to a remote report by Rocket Ismail. There was a problem with the audio feed, and Corso, obviously unaware that his microphone was still on, expressed his thoughts on the subject. (Warning: Not suitable for the young or overly sensitive).
Gotta love Corso.
Friday, December 5, 2008
Countdown Until Low Tide
I'm BACK! Illegal Procedure is back just in time for the SEC Championship game. I know there are other games out there tomorrow, but who cares? Seriously, do you think Missouri has a snowball's chance in an eskimo's oven of beating Oklahoma?
I'll probably tune in to the ACC Championship game for a while. I'm a closet BC fan - my uncle and my cousin went there. But, seriously, if they get 20,000 fans at that game in Tampa, I'll be surprised.
And I'll probably try to catch bits and pieces of the other games because, well, even a lousy college football game is still a college football game!
It's quite possible I'll even get my act together and warm up my Crystal Ball. Wonders never cease.
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